MBS Financial, LLC

Business Loan Weekly

August 2007

Volume 2, Number 16

In This Issue

·    Feature Article
Fed Minutes Indicate Rise in Non-Transportation Related Spending

 

Broker Resources
Top Broker Tips

Latest News

About MBS

Investment Recovery Trade Corporation

 

2006 ARCHIVES- Volume 1

 

December 2006: Volume 1, Number 25

Report: A Former CIT Sales Manager O’Neill Gets Prison for Role in
Financing Fraud
As seen in the Monitor Daily

A former district sales manager of CIT Group was sentenced in U.S. District Court in Boston on November 21 -- along with five co-conspirators -- for his role in a multi-million dollar fraudulent equipment loan scheme.

Michael O’Neill, formerly a district sales manager for CIT Equipment Finance based out of his home in Pennsylvania, was sentenced to one year and nine months in prison.

In June, O'Neill pleaded guilty to conspiracy, two counts of wire fraud and one count of mail fraud before Chief U.S. District Judge Mark L. Wolf for his part in a complex financing scheme involving more than $20 million in fraudulent equipment loans from 11 different lenders.

According to the 78-page indictment O’Neill received “kickbacks” for aiding a group of co-defendants – led by businessman Peter Maggio – in obtaining construction equipment financing from his employer, CIT Group. Maggio was sentenced to eight years and two months in prison for his part in the scheme.

Other lenders that were victims of the scheme included GE Capital, Textron Financial, Newcourt Credit, New Holland Credit, ORIX Credit Alliance, Associates Commercial Corp., Volvo Commercial Finance, Green Tree Financial Services, U.S. Bancorp Leasing & Financial, and Caterpillar Financial Services.

Beginning in 1998 Maggio, along with William Howe -- an accountant -- and Jeffrey Deveau -- a commercial loan broker and owner of heavy equipment dealer Deveau Tractor, Inc. – conspired with O’Neill and three other men to obtain loans using “straw” borrowers and false financial documents.

O’Neill agreed to accept payment of roughly $133,000 from Deveau and Maggio to help them get straw loans approved by CIT Group, and to conceal the fraudulent nature of the loans, the indictment charges. In a sentencing document, O’Neill’s attorneys claim that number was closer to $60,000.

As a result of the scheme, commercial lenders approved and funded loans totaling $21.6 million, and collectively suffered net losses in excess of $13.3 million, according to court documents.

In addition to the straw financings, the defendants also created fictitious “add-on” loans for the purported installation of specialized equipment on tractor trucks, and obtained multiple financings of trucks and construction equipment.

In addition to jail time, O’Neill was also ordered to pay $1.8 million in restitution to CIT Group for his participation in the frauds.

 

 

 

December 2006: Volume 1, Number 24

Report: AerCap Prices IPO at $23 Per Share
As seen in the Monitor Daily

AerCap Holdings, a lessor of aircraft and engines, announced the pricing of the initial public offering of its ordinary shares at $23.00 per share.

The securities offered include 6,800,000 shares to be issued and sold by AerCap as well as 19,300,000 shares to be sold by shareholders of AerCap.

The selling shareholders have granted to the underwriters an overallotment option to purchase up to 3,915,000 additional ordinary shares.

The ordinary shares are expected to trade beginning on November 21, 2006 on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "AER."

AerCap intends to use the net proceeds it receives from the offering to repay a portion of its outstanding senior secured and junior subordinated term loans incurred in connection with its acquisition of AeroTurbine in April 2006.

AerCap owns and manages a fleet of over 200 aircraft, owns 61 engines and has one of the largest new aircraft order books among operating lessors.

Morgan Stanley, Goldman, Sachs & Co., Lehman Brothers Inc. and Merrill Lynch are bookrunners for the offering. The offering of ordinary shares will be made only by means of a prospectus.

December 2006: Volume 1, Number 23

Report: NAELB Announces Broker Ethics Exam, Certification
As seen in the Monitor Daily

 

The National Association of Equipment Leasing Brokers (NAELB) has launched a new "Best Practices Broker" ethics examination aimed at codifying a set of principles for leasing brokers.

The examination will be given once a year, at the NAELB annual conference, and is designed to test only ethics.

The exam will consist of two parts, the first being multiple choice and the second being essays. The multiple choice section will focus on the NAELB Code of Ethics and the second part will consist of essays where the test taker will be presented with ethical conflicts and be asked to discuss the proper ethical resolution of those conflicts.

The successful candidate will achieve a score of at least 90% on the multiple-choice part of the test and 80% on the essay portion of the test. The test may be passed in parts.

The passing candidate will be entitled to use the designation "Best Practices Broker" on their company business cards, letterhead, stationary, marketing materials, and the like.

The designation may be used in any manner seen appropriate, including informing the broker's customers, vendors, and funders, of the designation.

The exam and subsequent designation is only open to NAELB Broker members. Those wishing to sit for the Best Practices exam must be approved by the NAELB to be of good ethical character.

 

December 2006: Volume 1, Number 22

Report: More Small Businesses Turning to Alternative Financing
As seen in the Monitor Daily

 

On A new report published by the Federal Reserve finds that increasing numbers of small businesses turned to non-bank financial institutions for capital and credit lines between 1998 and 2003.

The 29-page report, titled: "Financial Services Used by Small Businesses: Evidence from the 2003 Survey of Small Business Finances" was based on a survey of more than 4,000 firms.

A large majority of firms surveyed were very small, owner-managed establishments. More than 80% had fewer than 10 workers, and less than 3% had 50 or more. The survey defines small businesses as those with fewer than 500 employees.

The Fed found that more businesses are seeking capital from non-bank institutions such as finance and leasing companies, brokerages, credit- and debit-card processors, venture capitalists, and family and individuals.

According to the report, more than half of respondents reported using nondepository sources in 2003, compared with about 40% in 1998. In 1987 only 25% of small firms used financing that wasn't provided by banks, thrifts or other depository institutions.

The report found that leasing companies were especially popular at the larger end of the small business spectrum.

"In this changing financial marketplace, small businesses have been diversifying their providers of financial services. Among these sources, finance companies and leasing companies were important suppliers of credit and financial management services, especially for the largest small businesses, and brokerage firms were important suppliers of brokerage and trust and pension services," the report stated.

But the survey found that banks still account for the majority of credit lines, loans and lease financing; the only credit type for which banks weren't an important source was capital leasing, the Fed said.

According to the report: "Although suppliers other than commercial banks were important sources of lines, loans, and leases, commercial banks in 2003 were about two times more likely than finance companies to have been the source of these services for small businesses, six times more likely than family and individuals, and ten times more likely than leasing companies."

Click here to access the Fed report "Financial Services Used by Small Businesses" in its entirety.

 

November 2006: Volume 1, Number 21

A Simple Step to Help Your Realtors Build Their Business
By: Bliss Sawyer

One of the best ways to improve your reputation with Realtors is to add value "behind the scenes." Basically, this means that you go above and beyond getting the loan done. You find ways to help their business or make their job easier. It's even better if you give this type of value in ways that are not expected.

One technique you can implement is to collect testimonials from your clients for the Realtor. Hopefully, you are already asking for a recommendation as you close yet another successful loan. It really takes no more effort to ask for a sentence or two for the Realtor on the transaction. The best time to ask is immediately after (within one or two days) closing.

Asking can be done in a variety of ways. Depending on your clients and how they like to communicate, you can telephone, e-mail or send a letter (with a place to fill in the blank along with a return envelope.) You can word it similar to this: I have appreciated the opportunity to work with you on your recent mortgage.  Since my business is based primarily on referrals, I am hoping you can take a few minutes to write a short testimonial of my work. This helps others to understand my professional dedication to the mortgage business. I would also like to pass along a testimonial of the work provided by (Realtor's Name). I highly value my relationship with this Real Estate Professional and know they would appreciate your recommendation as well.

Once you have the testimonials, write a letter to your Realtor's Broker explaining how much you and the clients enjoyed working with their agent and that you wanted to pass along the great feedback you received. Send a copy of the letter and testimonials to the Realtor as well. This is best done with a real letter rather than e-mail as they now have a hard copy for their records. You also have the opportunity to include your card or personal brochure.

I also recommend you take the time to thank your client for their referral. A personal note is a great way to let them know the value their testimonial gave to your business.

Remember, when you talk about yourself it's considered boasting, when others talk about you it's considered a compliment.

Bliss Sawyer
www.mortgagemarketingstrategies.com
www.blisssawyer.typepad.com
806-577-3937

November 2006: Volume 1, Number 20

Dalmia, Co-Conspirators Indicated for Roles in Allserve Fraud
As seen in the Monitor Daily

 

Dinesh Dalmia, founder of Allserve Systems and the architect of a computer financing scam that bilked millionse of dollars out of more than a dozen leasing companies, was indicted by a federal grand jury along with two co-conspirators for his role in the fraud.

The 16-count indictment charges Dalmia and Ashish Paul, with conspiracy, wire fraud and money laundering between January 2004 and last December. A third man, William Dowling, was also charged with conspiring to launder money.

The indictment was unsealed on September 29 upon the arrest of Paul at his New Jersey home by special agents of the FBI. Dalmia, who was already the subject of a criminal complaint filed in federal court in March, is currently a fugitive incarcerated in India on stock fraud charges. In March, the government filed two charges of wire fraud against Dalmia stemming from two separate lease-financing transactions -- totaling just under $14 million -- between Allserve and a New York-based hedge fund, D. B. Zwirn Special Opportunities Fund.

Dowling turned himself in to the FBI in Ohio and will eventually be arraigned in U.S. District Court in New Jersey.

Specifically, the 31-page indictment details a conspiracy to defraud lenders GE Capital Finance, CitiCapital Technology Finance and Fifth Third Leasing.

The government alleges Dalmia used a series of shell companies, forged invoices and phony financial statements to secure multi-million dollar financing through lease contracts for computer and telecommunications equipment for call centers purported to be engaged in debt collection and telemarketing. To fool inspectors, agents charge that Dalmia purchased used and outdated telecom, computer and electronic equipment at a total cost of less than $800,000. By the time lenders began asking questions, Allserve owed $82.7 million to various creditors on total assets of just under $36 million. The company filed for bankruptcy in Nov. 2005.

According to the indictment, after the lenders paid more than $19 million for the high-end equipment to an Ohio company controlled by Paul, the Paul company then subcontracted its obligation to provide equipment to yet another company controlled by Dalmia. Thereafter, Dalmia and Paul submitted fraudulent invoices to the Paul-controlled company, which then routed the money back to Dalmia.

The money laundering charges stem principally from the movement of funds through shell companies by Dalmia, Paul and Dowling.

Paul allegedly used the laundered funds to pay personal credit card expenses, country club bills, private tuition payments, and the purchase of a $1.9 million home in Norwood.

The indictment provides notice that the government is seeking forfeiture of Paul's residence, as well as more than $15 million from Dalmia, Paul, and Dowling, each of whom would be jointly and severally liable for the judgment amount.

 

October 2006: Volume 1, Number 19

How Many People Do You Know  -  by Bliss Sawyer

I recently told my desperately poor 16 year old son, the more jobs he applied for and called back on, the sooner he would find one.  I also once heard the production manager of a large mortgage company tell his people that being a loan officer is like being unemployed every day out looking for a job.  

Your occupation as a loan officer is a numbers game.  How many people do you know?  That isn't a rhetorical question.  I want you to write it down.  Today's marketing tip is an action exercise.  Go ahead and write down the approximate number of people you think are in your sphere of influence. This would include everyone from past clients to other business relationships to family and friends to neighbors to the plumber and your hairdresser.  

Next take a look at how many you actually have in a database.  How many of these people receive something from you at least once a month?  Twelve times a year everyone you know should receive something in the mail so they have your contact information and any other updated information about mortgages, you and your company.

Now, block out time this week to update your database with the names of everyone you currently know and then schedule some type of marketing piece to go out by the end of next week.  It's not difficult.  A postcard will do.  Wish them a happy summer.  Anything - especially if you haven't been doing anything.  If you already have a system in place, great!  Use your blocked-out time to fine tune your list.

Your next goal will be to continually add to this database.  You should be increasing your center of influence each week by 10 names.  Yes, that means you will need to be networking and meeting new people.  Remember, you are in sales.  This is what you do.  Once you have mastered 10 a week, step it up to 15 a week.  The more people that know you and what you do for a living, the more people will start asking you for advise.  The loans will just naturally follow.

Don't know how to meet 10 new people each week?  Be creative.  Join a networking group, Realtor committee, Chamber of Commerce etc.  I am currently involved in a biking club, community gardeners club, along with various businesses and my children's school activities.  I don't currently originate loans, yet people still ask me for help and assistance - even though I explain that I am a mortgage trainer and speaker, not an originator.  Just get involved and be good at what you do, it truly is that simple!

In case you were wondering, my 16 year old had a job about two weeks after he started taking me serious and turning in applications and calling back managers.  It works for teenagers and it will work for you to find potential borrowers.  Just be grateful you aren't bussing tables!

Note to Managers:  I strongly recommend you make this exercise a part of your next sales meeting - see where you team measures up with their data base and mailings.

www.MortgageMarketingStrategies.com

 

 

 

October 2006: Volume 1, Number 18

Servicing the Listing Agent  -  by Bliss Sawyer

 

It is amazing to me that many loan officers do not make calls to the listing agent unless the transaction absolutely requires it to move ahead.  Even if the listing agent is already tied in with a lender, you never know what might happen in the future.  Let me tell you a brief story…

At one point in my origination career, I moved to a new area just when rates were climbing.  I tried the following approach with a selling agent on one of my transactions.  The agent was a high-producing Realtor and at the end of the transaction, I asked if we could meet for lunch to discuss doing additional business together.  He said he was grateful for the great service I had provided, but was loyal to a lender that had been with him for many years.  I finished the conversation by letting him know I would love to work with him anytime in the future should this situation change. 

I then contacted him by fax and phone consistently over the next six months hoping to work with him again.  One day, he called and explained that his current lender was not performing well and asked if I would like to be his preferred lender.  This was the start of a fantastic referral relationship.  To set yourself apart, you can utilize a few new tactics when you have the opportunity to work with a listing agent that does not currently give you referrals.

Phone calls - You aren’t releasing any personal information, just letting them know you are on top of things.  At the start of the transaction, let them know you have the file and that everything looks great for the contract closing date. Give a courtesy call when the inspection and/or survey is done as well as the appraisal.  Many Realtors have had deals go past the closing date simply because these items were not completed on time.  

Faxes and e-mail - utilize this great technology to brand you as the lender that gets the job done.  At set up, send a fax or e-mail with all of your contact information along with your processors.  It is also a great idea to send over the approval on buyers.  Even if they received this at the time the offer was presented, they most likely did not receive it directly from you.  This gives you the opportunity to recognize their part in the transaction and express your willingness to help.

Closing gives you another occasion to sell yourself.  Take a minute to stop by the seller's closing to meet everyone and thank them for a great transaction.  Let the agent and seller know you would love to work with them again.  This is especially powerful if the seller’s lender does not attend the closing on their new transaction.

After closing invite the agent to lunch to discuss helping his business grow.  I would also suggest you consider adding the agent to your Realtor Contact List.  You have hopefully made a great impression and may have an easy time convincing them to refer more business your way.  It may take six months, but could definitely be worth it.

Take the time on your next transaction to service the listing agent and develop another referral source.  Your pipeline will grow!

www.MortgageMarketingStrategies.com

 

 

October 2006: Volume 1, Number 17

Closing Satisfaction Guarantee  -  by Bliss Sawyer

 

Many Realtors have had a bad experience with a closing being delayed because of mistakes on the paperwork discovered at the closing table.  This marketing piece explains to Realtors that you want to earn their business and will do everything you can to make each transaction as smooth as possible. 

This guarantee states your commitment to be at each closing to assist and answer questions.  In the unlikely event you are not available, explain that you will have a “dress rehearsal” with the borrowers prior to their closing appointment.  Tres Miller with AllStar Mortgage in St. George, UT has used this concept of a dress rehearsal to successfully close high volumes of loans and create “raving fans” without actually being at the closing.  Your dress rehearsal should cover the following points:

1.      Interest rate
2.      Payment
3.      First payment due date
4.      How much to closing
5.      Terms
6.      How names read for signatures
7.      Vesting

The above items are where the majority of problems and delays occur in most closings.  If you have addressed these seven points, there will be no surprises at your closings and you can guarantee yourself satisfied clients.

Market this guarantee to Realtors by explaining that their satisfaction and the satisfaction of each borrower is your highest priority.  Modify the guarantee for borrowers or into a brochure and use this as a marketing tool during initial contacts with potential clients.

Marketing strategies don’t have to be expensive, they just have to work.  Spend the time today to create a guarantee that accurately reflects your commitment to borrowers and Realtors.   You will have one more tool to set yourself apart from the competition and guarantee yourself increased production.

www.MortgageMarketingStrategies.com

 

 

October 2006: Volume 1, Number 16

How Many People Do You Know  -  by Bliss Sawyer

How Many People Do You Know  -  by Bliss Sawyer

I recently told my desperately poor 16 year old son, the more jobs he applied for and called back on, the sooner he would find one.  I also once heard the production manager of a large mortgage company tell his people that being a loan officer is like being unemployed every day out looking for a job.  

Your occupation as a loan officer is a numbers game.  How many people do you know?  That isn't a rhetorical question.  I want you to write it down.  Today's marketing tip is an action exercise.  Go ahead and write down the approximate number of people you think are in your sphere of influence. This would include everyone from past clients to other business relationships to family and friends to neighbors to the plumber and your hairdresser.  

Next take a look at how many you actually have in a database.  How many of these people receive something from you at least once a month?  Twelve times a year everyone you know should receive something in the mail so they have your contact information and any other updated information about mortgages, you and your company.

Now, block out time this week to update your database with the names of everyone you currently know and then schedule some type of marketing piece to go out by the end of next week.  It's not difficult.  A postcard will do.  Wish them a happy summer.  Anything - especially if you haven't been doing anything.  If you already have a system in place, great!  Use your blocked-out time to fine tune your list.

Your next goal will be to continually add to this database.  You should be increasing your center of influence each week by 10 names.  Yes, that means you will need to be networking and meeting new people.  Remember, you are in sales.  This is what you do.  Once you have mastered 10 a week, step it up to 15 a week.  The more people that know you and what you do for a living, the more people will start asking you for advice.  The loans will just naturally follow.

Don't know how to meet 10 new people each week?  Be creative.  Join a networking group, Realtor committee, Chamber of Commerce etc.  I am currently involved in a biking club, community gardeners club, along with various businesses and my children's school activities.  I don't currently originate loans, yet people still ask me for help and assistance - even though I explain that I am a mortgage trainer and speaker, not an originator.  Just get involved and be good at what you do, it truly is that simple!

In case you were wondering, my 16 year old had a job about two weeks after he started taking me serious and turning in applications and calling back managers.  It works for teenagers and it will work for you to find potential borrowers.  Just be grateful you aren't bussing tables!

Note to Managers:  I strongly recommend you make this exercise a part of your next sales meeting - see where you team measures up with their data base and mailings.

www.MortgageMarketingStrategies.com

 

 

October 2006: Volume 1, Number 15

Gas Giveaway  -  by Bliss Sawyer

Gas prices have finally come down, but this is still a hot topic for consumers.  We’ve all felt the squeeze of higher gas eating away at more of our income in the last year.  Why not use this as a marketing tool?

Rick Hamm, Unifirst Mortgage, Grand Junction, Colo., has come up with a great way to recognize his customers by inviting them to save on gas and eat free.  This is a creative customer appreciation event that also creates excitement and name recognition in their community. 

Unifirst sent a postcard out to their entire database inviting them to save 20 cents
per gallon on a fill up at one of a few specified gas stations on a Saturday from
10:00-4:00 (limit 25 gallons.)  Things were crowded, but staff helped direct traffic
and talk to all the patrons. 

When they finished filling up, receipts were presented at a hospitality area, where past clients received a cash rebate along with a free hotdog and drink (the gas stations were happy to provide soft drinks since they more than doubled their average gas sales that day!)   Unifirst had banners and signs announcing what was going on as
well as having their name on the BBQ grills.

This was a wonderful opportunity for loan officers to get reacquainted with past customers.   A great side benefit was the chance to meet potential borrowers by offering hotdogs to other gas customers that were not Unifirst clients.  The average gas purchase per customer was 16 gallons, for a cost of about $3.20 and inexpensive hotdogs from Sam’s Club.

Business and management guru Tom Peters states it perfectly….Be distinct or you'll be extinct.   In every aspect of your business you must try to set yourself apart from the competition.  This includes improving old ideas and trying new ideas.  So why not try something that has already been proven to be successful?

*www.MortgageMarketingStrategies.com*

 

September 2006: Volume 1, Number 14

OECD: U.S. Economy to Pick up In Second Half of 2006

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has released its interim report on global economic conditions.

In its outlook for the second half of 2006, the OECD said it expects to see a gradual rebalancing of economic growth between the U.S. and Europe.

According to the OECD, data for the first half of 2006 showed much stronger than-expected performance in Europe and a significantly weaker one in the United States and Japan, but the group said the situation is likely to change the second half, with the U.S. gaining momentum.

"The U.S. economy is running at around full capacity," the report reads. "In the second quarter, investment weakened, dragged down by the homebuilding sector. Household consumption slowed less and has in fact tended to accelerate in recent months, consistent with a pick-up in compensation, and so have exports, pointing to robust GDP growth in the third quarter."

The group noted that despite the Federal Reserve's recent decision to halt short-term interest rate hikes, "further tightening may turn out to be warranted" if economic activity does not continue to slow in the coming months.

But the group added: "There is a strong case for waiting before further hiking the policy rate until the new series of core inflation ...is in firmly positive territory."

September 2006: Volume 1, Number 13

ELA: Leasing Volume Down in July; Portfolio Quality Remains Strong
Tuesday, September 05, 2006

The Equipment Leasing Association released its Monthly Leasing Index (MLI-25) of equipment leasing and finance activity for July.

The new data shows portfolio quality strengthened with charge-offs as a percentage of net lease receivables at their lowest levels of the year. Charge-offs for July are .33%, down from .59% in the prior month.

The MLI-25 is a monthly survey of commercial equipment lease and loan activity and performance as reported by 25 ELA member equipment finance companies.

Overall volume for the period declined when compared to June originations, which spiked to their highest levels of the year. July business activity totaled $5.7 billion for new commercial equipment leases and loans.

Receivables over 90 days remained at 1.0%. July's credit approval ratios remained relatively flat when compared to June. Total headcount rose, to 11,028 the seventh consecutive rise in employment for the MLI-25 companies.

"Leasing and finance companies enjoyed strong performance in July, particularly with respect to credit quality," said ELA President Kenneth E. Bentsen, Jr. He added, "The numbers seem to suggest that equipment demand is solid, as are the balance sheets of businesses acquiring this equipment."

 

September 2006: Volume 1, Number 12

Total Bankruptcy Cases Fall to Lowest Level Since 2001
Tuesday, August 29, 2006

Bankruptcy filings fell 9.3% during the 12-month period ending June 30, 2006, its lowest level since the 12-month period ending September 2001, according to data released by the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts.

Bankruptcy cases filed in federal courts during that period totaled 1,484,570, down from the 1,637,254 bankruptcy cases filed for the 12-month period ending June 30, 2005.

In the 12-month period ending June 30, 2006, business filings dropped to 31,562 down 2.6% from the 32,406 filings reported in the previous 12-month period.

Of the total number of bankruptcy filings in the 12-month period ending June 30, 2006, there were 1,164,815 Chapter 7 filings, a 2.6% drop from the 1,196,212 Chapter 7 filings in the 12-month period ending June 30, 2005.

Chapter 13 filings, the next largest group of filings, totaled 313,085 in 2006, down 27.9% from 433,945 Chapter 13 filings in 2005.

Chapter 11 filings also fell in this 12-month period. Chapter 11 filings totaled 6,224 as of June 30, 2006, down 7.1% from the 6,703 filings for the 12-month period ending June 30, 2005.

Only Chapter 12 filings increased. Chapter 12 bankruptcy filings totaled 360, up 24.1% from the 290 Chapter 12 filings in the 12-month period ending June 30, 2005.

Click here for a complete listing of the data by quarter with charts.

 

September 2006: Volume 1, Number 11

Report: Global Credit Quality Shows Modest Improvement in August
Thursday, August 31, 2006

Kamakura Corporation, provider of risk management information, processing and software, released its monthly global index of troubled companies for August. Kamakura reported the index improved slightly in August, the first improvement after three consecutive months of deterioration in credit quality.

The Kamakura troubled company index declined in August to 6.8% of the global corporate universe, down from 7.1% in July. Most of the improvement in the index came in the last week of the month when stock prices rallied strongly.

The index reached its 16-year low of 5.5% in April 2006 and its 16-year high of 28% was reached in September 2001, the worst part of the last recession. In percentile terms, August credit conditions rated better than 85% of the monthly periods over the last 16 years, an improvement from 82% last month.

The troubled company index averaged 13.2% over the 1990-2006 period.

Kamakura defines a troubled company as a company whose default probability is in excess of 1%. The index covers 16,000 public companies in 29 countries in Europe, North America, Asia, the Middle East and Africa, including the United States, Canada, Germany, the Netherlands, France, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom.

"Most of August saw a continued deterioration in corporate credit quality, but the sharp rally in stocks toward the end of the month resulted in a net improvement in the index," said Warren Sherman, Kamakura president and chief operating officer. "The number of companies with default probabilities between 1% and 5% fell slightly in August to 5.0% of the global public company universe, down 0.2%. Companies with default probabilities between 5% and 10% fell 0.1% to 1.0% of the universe. Companies with default probabilities between 10% and 20% also fell 0.1% to 0.6% of the universe. The number of global companies with default probabilities over 20% increased, however, by 0.1% to 0.3% of the universe."

 

September 2006: Volume 1, Number 10

Production Finance Provides Purchase Order Financing to Drinks Americas
As seen in abfjournal

Drinks Americas Holdings, Ltd. has entered into a purchase order financing facility from Production Finance International, LLC to provide the underlying support for the production and launch of Trump Super Premium Vodka.

Drinks Americas has begun to presell Trump Super Premium Vodka and has received purchase orders and commitments for in excess of $5 million. The Company believes that additional orders will be placed as the product is marketed on a national and international basis.

John Kubiak, president and CEO of PFI, said, "Unlike conventional banks, factors, or asset-based lenders, PFI provides financial support based on the customer's purchase orders, and, after assisting with the creation of inventory, enables its customers to turn their receivables into cash. We predominantly look to the market demand for the customer's products, coupled with demonstrated management expertise. Drinks Americas certainly has demonstrated the market demand for its products and the ability of its management team, and we look forward to a long and mutually profitable relationship with the Company." In addition to the recently announced launch of Trump Super Premium Vodka (which generated initial orders of over $5 million), Drinks Americas is expanding the marketing of Newman's Own Lightly Sparkling Fruit Juice Drinks and is introducing new lines of Newman's Own Sparkling Water and Newman's Own Fruit Teas.

Patrick Kenny, CEO of Drinks Americas, said, "The PFI credit facility will enable Drinks Americas to execute its business plan with the confidence that we will keep pace and grow with the demonstrated demand for our products. It is a major milestone for the Company that we have this important part of our combined financial plan and growth strategy underway."

Drinks Americas develops, owns, markets, and nationally distributes alcoholic and non-alcoholic premium beverages that are often associated with renowned icon celebrities. Drinks' portfolio of premium alcoholic beverages includes Willie Nelson's Old Whiskey River Bourbon and Bourbon Cream and Roy Yamaguchi's Y Sake. Drinks' non-alcoholic brands include the distribution of Paul Newman's Own Lightly Sparkling Fruit Juice Drinks.

 

 

August 2006: Volume 1, Number 9

Enesco Group Retains Jefferies & Company to Pursue Debt Financing
As seen in abfjournal

Enesco Group, Inc., a provider of giftware and home and garden decor, has retained Jefferies & Company, Inc. to assist the Company in pursuing alternatives for debt financing.

Basil Elliott, president and chief executive officer of Enesco, stated, "Securing financing to replace our current credit facility is a top priority for management. To this end, we have engaged Jefferies to help us evaluate and pursue various options pertaining to debt financing for Enesco."

 

August 2006: Volume 1, Number 8

Report: Industrial Manufacturing Industry Shows Strong Growth in 2006
As seen in the Monitor Daily

Plant start-ups in North America have been on the rise within the industrial manufacturing industry throughout the first half of 2006 and the expansion appears likely to continue throughout the year, according to data released by Industrial Info Resources.

During the second quarter of the year, 165 new plants, representing almost 26,000 new jobs, became operational in the United States and Canada. In the third quarter, 136 plants are scheduled to open their doors, adding another 25,000 new jobs to the year's totals.

So far, 2006 has already surpassed 2005's total of just over 240 new plants becoming operational.

The Southeastern United States leads the expansion with 32 new plants opening their doors in the third quarter.

The report states: "All in all, 2006 has already surpassed 2005's totals for new plants. With the entire fourth quarter yet to come, this lead in new plants opening their doors should only widen. While it is still too early to make predictions as to how 2007 will shape up, early indications point to a very good year, in terms of plants becoming operational within the Industrial Manufacturing industry."

August 2006: Volume 1, Number 7

Herbalife to Undertake Potential Refinancing
As seen in abfjournal

Herbalife Ltd. and its indirect subsidiary Herbalife International, Inc., are considering a potential refinancing transaction with a new senior secured credit facility. If the refinancing is consummated, certain of the proceeds may be used to repay or redeem substantially all of Herbalife's existing debt, including its outstanding 9 1/2% Notes due 2011 and fund closing costs.

Herbalife is a network marketing company that sells weight-management, nutritional supplements and personal care products intended to support a healthy lifestyle.

 

August 2006: Volume 1, Number 6

Regions Financial, AmSouth Announce Merger Agreement
As seen in Monitor Daily

 

Regions Financial, parent company of Regions Leasing, and AmSouth Bancorporation announced that they have agreed to merge, forming one of the top 10 bank holding companies in the United States.

The new company will have almost $140 billion in assets, hold nearly $100 billion in deposits and operate 2,000 branches in 16 states across the South, Midwest and Texas. Combined, the two companies employ 37,000 people. The Regions name will be retained.

Jackson W. Moore, chairman, president and chief executive officer of Regions, will be chairman of the combined company. C. Dowd Ritter, chairman, president and chief executive officer of AmSouth, will be the president and chief executive officer of Regions.

"AmSouth shares Regions' passion for delivering superior customer service, and the combined company will be in an excellent position to raise service standards," said Moore. "Our companies have similar goals, shared values and solid experience in putting organizations together. We will take a deliberate, methodical approach to integrating our companies, making certain that customers continue to receive high quality service.

"I am confident the new Regions will emerge as the leading regional financial services provider, delivering superior shareholder returns on a consistent basis."

"Combining AmSouth and Regions creates a company with market-leading positions in some of the best markets in the country," added Ritter.

The agreement provides for a stock-for-stock merger in which 0.7974 shares of Regions will be exchanged, on a tax-free basis, for each share of AmSouth common stock. Based upon closing stock prices of both companies on May 24, 2006, the proforma combined market capitalization of the new institution would be approximately $26 billion.

 

July 2006: Volume 1, Number 5

KPS Special Situations Funds Acquires Cloyes Gear; LaSalle Provides Financing
As seen in abfjournal

KPS Special Situations Funds announced that a newly formed affiliate has acquired a controlling equity interest in Cloyes Gear and Products, Inc. Financing for this transaction was provided by LaSalle Business Credit, LLC. Other financial terms were not disclosed.

KPS will invest substantial capital in Cloyes to fund growth opportunities. Cloyes' previous owners have retained a minority ownership interest in the Company, and Trevor Myers will continue to serve as Chief Executive Officer under KPS' ownership. Myers and his management team will implement a business plan developed in partnership with KPS focused on improving operations and investing in select return-driven capital improvement projects.

Raquel Vargas Palmer, principal of KPS, said, "Trevor Myers and his team have built an extremely impressive business. Cloyes has led the trend in fuel efficient timing drive systems, formed global strategic relationships, and constantly evolved to better serve its customers. We look forward to building the Company through new business initiatives and acquisitions."

Myers said, "As a family-owned business, it was important for us to find the right partner - one that would support Cloyes' growth and dedication to quality and innovative products. KPS was an obvious choice given its commitment to manufacturing excellence, its successful investment track record, and its experience in investing in the automotive sector. Our customers can expect that we will continue to provide innovative technology along with world class products and service."

Cloyes is a supplier of timing systems and components for automotive engines and enjoys a dominant market position in the North American automotive aftermarket under the Cloyes and Dynagear brand names.

 

 

July 2006: Volume 1, Number 4

 

U.S. Automotive Industry Plans Aggressive Project Spending in 2007
As seen in the Monitor Daily

With $9.2 billion worth of project spending planned at automotive assembly and tier supplier manufacturing plants in North America through the end of 2007, the North America automotive industry is maintaining a healthy level of spending in spite of the downsizing of domestic automakers, a new report from Industrial Info Resources finds.

A reflection of this trend shows that a good deal of the planned project expenditures are for new and expanding operations (many of them foreign owned) in the South, as opposed to the traditional U.S. manufacturing hub surrounding the Detroit area.

Traditional American-based automotive manufacturers and tier suppliers are facing fierce global competition, which is arriving on U.S. shores in growing numbers.

According to Dave Pickering, vice president of industrial manufacturing industry for Industrial Info Resources, "After decades of growth for American automakers, the industry is now under assault as the war between American and foreign automakers heats up for the ever important market share."

 

July 2006: Volume 1, Number 3

GDP Growth Revised Up to 5.6%; Economy Growing at Faster Rate Than Expected
As seen in abfjournal

The U.S. economy is growing at a faster rate than expected, according to the U.S. Commerce Department. In newly released data, the department pushed its estimate of first-quarter growth in gross domestic product 0.3 percentage points up from the 5.3% that it reported a month ago.

The output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States increased at an annual rate of 5.6% in the first quarter of 2006, according to final estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 1.7%.

The increase in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, equipment and software, and federal government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased.

The acceleration in real GDP growth in the first quarter primarily reflected an upturn in PCE for durable goods, an acceleration in exports, an upturn in federal government spending, and an acceleration in equipment and software that were partly offset by a downturn in private inventory investment.

Click here to read the Commerce Department report in its entirety.

 

July 2006: Volume 1, Number 2

Study: More IT Executives Turning to Leasing 
As per seen in the Monitor Daily

Procuring IT equipment through leasing is one option to better manage technology assets, according to a poll of senior IT executives conducted at Forsythe Technology's 2006 Executive Customer Council.

The survey found that 38% of participants report that simplifying technology refresh is one of the most compelling reasons to lease IT solutions.

"Even companies with substantial cash reserves discover there are better ways to use that cash than tying it up in depreciating assets such as IT equipment," said John Carcone, senior vice president of financial services at Forsythe.

"As interest rates increase and money gets more expensive, it's important to determine the best method for acquiring and financing needed IT equipment," Carcone added. "One option is leasing, which matches the company's financial commitment and internal useful life projection, plus provides fixed scheduled payments to simplify expense budgets, offers a hedge against rising interest rates, protects businesses from inflation and allows companies to project future cash outlays with greater accuracy."

The survey also found that IT executives continue to have issues with estimating the useful life of IT equipment and matching it to business goals. Seventy-five percent of respondents said that the estimated useful life of technology is the most important factor they use in determining IT investment decisions, but almost half (45%) say they inaccurately project the useful life at least 40% of the time.

"Working with a trusted advisor that understands technology lifecycles and provides flexible terms for upgrading and refreshing equipment can help companies make proper procurement decisions," Carcone said.

Twenty senior IT managers from a broad range of companies representing nearly $130 billion in aggregate revenue in the industry were surveyed during Forsythe Technology's 2006 Executive Customer Council.

 

 

June 2006: Volume 1, Number 1

Analysts: Fed Set to Raise Rates Again
As per seen in the Monitor daily

Across the board, Fed watchers are in agreement that the Federal Reserve will raise rates another quarter point when the Federal Open Market Committee meets June 28-29. For nearly two years the agency has struggled to maintain a delicate balance between economic growth and inevitable inflation. It's a struggle most analysts agree, at least for mow, is likely to continue -- despite indications the economy is slowing.

Both industrial and manufacturing production declined in May, according to Fed data. But industrial output is still up 4.3% over the same period in 2005, and consumer confidence was up slightly in June, following a slight drop in May.

A quarter-point hike would push short-term interest rates to 5.25%, and mark the 17th straight rate increase since the Fed began its tightening policy in June 2004. According to the Wall Street Journal, futures markets are predicting a 50% probability that the Fed will raise rates again in August, to 5.5%.

It's an assertion Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has done little to assuage. In a June 5 speech, Bernanke reiterated his pledge to remain "vigilant" and commented that: "core inflation measured over the past three to six months has reached a level that, if sustained, would be at or above the upper end of the range that many economists, including myself, would consider consistent with price stability and the promotion of maximum long-run growth."

Meanwhile, analysts watching from abroad expect the rate hikes will continue throughout 2006 in the U.S. followed by drastic cuts next year. The Chief Economist of National Bank of Australia, Alan Oster, said in a recent interview with the Asian press that he believes the Fed will cut rates three times in the second half of 2007.

 

 

 

 

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