MBS Financial, LLC

Business Loan Weekly

August 2007

Volume 2, Number 16

In This Issue

·    Feature Article
Fed Minutes Indicate Rise in Non-Transportation Related Spending

 

Broker Resources

Top Broker Tips

Latest News

About MBS

Investment Recovery Trade Corporation

 

ARCHIVED ARTICLES

 

2006 Archives -Volume 1

 

June 2007: Volume 2, Number 15

U.S. Rail Traffic Trends Down in 2007
As Seen in The Monitor Daily

Freight traffic on U.S. railroads was down 4.3% for the first five months of 2007, compared to the same period last year, the Association of American Railroads (AAR) reported.

Total U.S. rail carloads were down 320,851 carloads to 7,087,341 carloads, with the biggest declines coming in crushed stone, sand, and gravel; motor vehicles and equipment; and coal.

U.S. intermodal traffic, which consists of trailers and containers on flat cars and is not included in carload figures, was down 59,428 trailers and containers (1.2%) year to date to 4,990,830 units.

Total volume for the first five months was estimated at 721.4 billion ton-miles, down 3.0% from last year.

U.S. rail freight traffic continued to decline in May, with railcars originating 1,636,963 carloads of freight in May 2007, down 79,471 carloads (4.6%) from May 2006.

Intermodal volume totaled 1,143,652 units in May 2007, a decline of 23,926 trailers and containers (2.0%) from May 2006.

Five of the 19 major commodity categories tracked by the AAR saw U.S. carload increases in May 2007 compared to May 2006, with the largest gains coming in chemicals and petroleum products.

Most other commodities showed carload declines in May 2007.

"While there isn't much to cheer about in this month's rail traffic figures, we should keep in mind that U.S. freight railroads moved more freight in 2006 than ever before," noted AAR Vice President Craig F. Rockey. "Even with the decreases in rail traffic so far in 2007, the absolute volumes being moved by railroads today are still very high. For example, intermodal volume is down 1.2% through May, and even if this rate of decline continues for the rest of the year, 2007 would still be the second highest-volume year for intermodal in history, behind 2006."

June 2007: Volume 2, Number 14

Class 8 Sales Continue Downward Slide
As Seen in The Monitor Daily

Sales of Class 8 vehicles continued to slide downward in March, dropping nearly 38% compared with the same period in 2006. That follows a drop of more than 70% in February.

According to an article in Transport Topics, sales of heavy-duty trucks dropped 22% in the first quarter of 2007, a result of aggressive 2006 pre-buying in anticipation of stricter diesel emissions standards that went into effect in January.

The trend is having a clear effect on manufacturers. In March, Volvo reported that sales of its popular line of Mack Trucks were down 51% in the U.S.

Analysts say they are not surprised by the numbers and anticipate a similar pre-buy situation in 2009 ahead of the 2010 change in federal emission regulations for diesel engines.

"There are really no surprises here, but we're still anticipating a second-half pickup in sales in August or so. There's nothing to indicate that won't happen." Roy Wiley, a spokesman for International Truck and Engine Corp. told TTN.

Freight carriers appear to be faring little better. In a related story, Transport Topics notes that profits were down at five of the largest truckload carrier in Q1/07 as a slowing economy has cut freight volumes.

Previously on monitordaily.com:

 

 

June 2007: Volume 2, Number 13

Dell Accused of Misleading Customers...Again
As Seen in The Monitor Daily

 

Dell Accused of Misleading Customers...Again
As Seen in The Monitor Daily

 

New York Attorney General Andrew M. Cuomo has filed a lawsuit in Albany County Supreme Court against Dell and Dell Financial Services that accuses Dell and DFS of engaging in "bait and switch" financing tactics and failing to provide their customers with adequate customer service.

It also charges Dell and DFS with perpetuating numerous other deceptive business practices relating to their technical support services, promotional financing, rebate offers, and billing and collection activity.

The suit resembles a similar action filed against Dell, DFS and CIT – which holds a minority interest in DFS -- in 2005 in Superior Court for San Francisco County.

"At Dell, customer service means no service at all," said Cuomo. "Dell's consumers were intentionally misled, and they had to pay for that privilege. I hope this lawsuit sends a message to companies large and small that delivering a product is simply not enough - the promises they make must be delivered as well."

Among other things, the suit alleges that Dell lured consumers to purchase its products with advertisements that offered attractive "no interest" and/or "no payment" financing promotions, while in practice, the vast majority of consumers, even those with very good credit scores, were denied these deals.

In what Cuomo called a classic "bait and switch" scheme, DFS allegedly offered consumers financing at high interest rates, which often exceed 20%. Cuomo said Dell and DFS frequently failed to clearly inform these consumers that they had not qualified for the promotional terms, leaving many to unwittingly finance their purchase at high interest rates.

Additionally, the suit said Dell deprived consumers of the technical support to which they were entitled under their warranty or service contract and that DFS incorrectly billed consumers on cancelled orders, returned merchandise, or accounts they did not authorize Dell to open, and then continually harassed these consumers with illegal billing and collection activity.

In the California case, attorneys representing Dell customers charged the company with preying on unsuspecting consumers with its financing practices, as well as promoting low rates and "easy" financing which, without notice to the customer, were changed to include much higher interest rates and hidden charges.

That case was partially settled in December 2006 for $17 million and a promise from Dell to reform their business practices.

 

May 2007: Volume 2, Number 12

JP Morgan Chase Reports 55% Increase in Profits in QI/07
As Seen in The Monitor Daily

 

JPMorgan Chase & Co. reported 2007 first quarter net income of $4.8 billion, a 55% increase over $3.1 billion reported in the first quarter of 2006, well ahead of Wall Street expectations. The firm's adoption of SFAS 157 (Fair Value Measurements) resulted in a benefit to the current quarter's earnings of $391 million.

Revenue was nearly $19 billion, up from $15.2 billion a year earlier.

The firm's Commercial Banking sector reported net income was a record $304 million, up by $64 million, or 27%, from the prior year, driven by higher net revenue.

Net revenue was $1 billion, up by $103 million, or 11%, from the prior year. Net interest income of $668 million was flat. The benefit of higher liability balances and loan volumes, which reflected organic growth and The Bank of New York transaction, were offset largely by the continued shift to narrower-spread liability products and loan-spread compression.

Noninterest revenue of $335 million was up by $102 million, or 44%, primarily due to higher investment banking revenue as well as gains related to the sale of securities acquired in the satisfaction of debt.

On a segment basis, middle-market banking revenue of $661 million increased by $38 million, or 6%, from the prior year due to growth across all product areas and The Bank of New York transaction. Mid-corporate banking revenue of $212 million increased by $75 million, or 55%, reflecting higher investment banking revenue and a gain on the sale of securities acquired in the satisfaction of debt. Real Estate revenue of $102 million decreased by $3 million, or 3%.

"We are very pleased with our record results this quarter, which reflected the strength of our broad and diversified franchise. Across all of our businesses, we experienced continued growth in client volumes, including new accounts, loans, deposits and new business. The Investment Bank, Asset Management and Commercial Banking each delivered record earnings. Private equity gains were also very strong. The firm's strong results include some benefit from the generally favorable credit environment, which we do not expect to continue indefinitely."

Commenting on The Bank of New York branch integration, Dimon noted, "Through the remarkable efforts of thousands of dedicated employees, we now have an integrated and much stronger retail banking business in the New York Tri-state area. Across the U.S. our customers now have available to them the convenience of more than 3,000 branches and 8,500 ATMs."

 

 

 

March 2007: Volume 2, Number 11

Chrysler Finance May Join Parent on Sale Block
As Seen in The Monitor Daily

 

DaimlerChrysler's CEO Dieter Zetsche said the company will likely sell Chrysler's auto loan and leasing unit if it decides to divest the U.S.-based automaker.

A report from Bloomberg News cites comments Zetsche made at the Merrill Lynch Global Automotive Conference in Geneva suggesting Chrysler Financial would join its parent on the sale block.

Michigan-based Chrysler Financial provides loans and leases to the Chrysler dealers and customers. It's part of DaimlerChrysler Financial Services Americas, which also serves Mercedes-Benz and the company's heavy-duty truck operations.

Referencing Cerberus Capital Management's acquisition last year of a controlling stake in GM's financing arm, Zetsche said he expects private equity groups would be interested in the unit.

In fact, Cerberus is one of several equity groups that have expressed an interest in buying the automaker, and buyout experts from Cerberus have reportedly already met with representatives from Chrysler. It's not clear if the future of Chrysler Financial was also part of the talks.

According to Detroit News, a second private-equity firm, the Blackstone Group, is scheduled to meet one on one with Chrysler management later this week.

In Nov. 2006, Cerberus completed the acquisition of a 51% stake GMAC for $7.4 billion.


 

 

March 2007: Volume 2, Number 10

CapitalSource Reports 70% Increase in Net Income in 2006
As Seen in The Monitor Daily

CapitalSource reported financial results for the year ended December 31, 2006.

Net income for the year was $279.3 million, a 70% increase over net income of $164.7 million for the prior year. Adjusted earnings were $425.7 million for the year compared to $263.6 million in 2005.

The company reported that total commercial assets grew $2.6 billion, or 43%, during the year. CapitalSource had total commercial assets, including commercial loans and direct real estate investments of $8.6 billion at the year’s end.

Meanwhile, commercial loans grew $1.9 billion, or 31%, during the year. Commercial loans outstanding were $7.9 billion as of year end. In the fourth quarter, operating lease income increased to $11.6 million for the, compared to $7.9 million for the prior quarter.

Commercial Net Finance Margin

* Yield on average interest earning assets was 12.12% for the quarter, a decrease of 95 basis points from the prior quarter. Yield from interest income decreased 10 basis points from the prior quarter and yield from fee income decreased 85 basis points. The decrease in yield from fee income this quarter was primarily due to a 77 basis point decline in prepayment-related fee income. Prepayment related fee income contributed 60 basis points to yield in the quarter compared to 137 basis points in the prior quarter and 92 basis points for the full year.

* Cost of funds was 6.46% for the quarter compared to 6.26% for the prior quarter. This increase was primarily due to higher amortization of deferred financing fees and a higher cost mix of funding resulting from the issuance of additional subordinated debt, greater use of our unsecured credit facility and the higher costs of financing for certain of our real estate acquisitions. In addition, our $1.3 billion commercial real estate term debt securitization was completed late in the quarter. We expect that this financing will have a favorable effect on cost of funds in the future. Overall borrowing spread to one-month LIBOR was 1.13% for the quarter compared to 0.91% for the prior quarter and 1.03% for the full year.

* Leverage, as measured by the ratio of total debt to total equity at the end of the period, was 3.78x as of year end, an increase from 3.67x from the prior quarter. This increase was primarily due to additional borrowings used to fund loan portfolio growth and our acquisition of direct real estate investments.

* Net finance margin, defined as net investment income divided by average income earning assets, was 7.01% for the quarter, a decrease of 118 basis points from 8.19% for the priior quarter. The decrease was primarily due to lower prepayment-related fees, higher cost of funds on our borrowings and the effects of increased leverage.

Reflecting on 2006, John K. Delaney, chairman and chief executive officer, remarked: "In addition to exceeding our dividend guidance, we accomplished many important objectives this year. As we look ahead, we see significant opportunities to further extend our substantial platform with new balance sheet and asset management initiatives."

Click here to read CaptitalSource’s year-end report in its entirety.

 

March 2007: Volume 2, Number 9

CIT Launches New Global Brand Campaign
As Seen in The Monitor Daily

CIT Group has launched a new global brand campaign aimed at articulating the company's value proposition. The new campaign highlights CIT's ‘go-to-market’ strategy, which is designed to go beyond traditional financial analysis and place value on a customer's potential, ideas and its people.

The brand campaign was created by and launched through kirshenbaum bond + partners.

According to a company release, the cornerstone of the new brand positioning is the company's capital redefined equation where Relationship Capital + Intellectual Capital + Financial Capital = Capital Redefined.

CIT says it based the new approach on the results of a recent CIT survey of American business leaders conducted by Harris Interactive. The survey revealed that executives were eight times more likely to say that attributes like "strong customer relationships" and "having employees who deeply understand their business/industry" are more important to a company's success than a strong balance sheet.

"Capital Redefined is based on what we do best -- deliver relationship capital, intellectual capital, and financial capital to our customers," said Jeffrey M. Peek, CIT chairman and CEO. "We know the middle market and understand that our customers expect more then just 'traditional financing.' This campaign highlights our unique go-to-market strategy and reflects our rich heritage and strong competitive position in the middle market."

CIT said its brand campaign will roll out throughout 2007 in three waves which include newspaper, magazine, radio, web, networking events and out-of-home.

The new brand campaign will also include relationship-building elements designed to reach CIT's client base and foster stronger relationships. This will include networking events, webinars, and in-depth research analysis that highlights the key business issues facing middle market executives today. Other related initiatives include a corporate website redesign and a partnership with Conde Nast Media Group to produce "Behind the Business"; a multi-layered communications program hosted by business consultant and journalist Andrew Shapiro that will feature executive profiles and interviews.

 

 

 

January 2007: Volume 2, Number 8

2006 Business Jet Shipments Reach All-Time High
As seen in the Monitor Daily

Leaders of the General Aviation Manufacturers Association (GAMA) announced that shipments of every type of general aviation airplane increased in 2006 and the strong numbers have led to another record high in industry billings.

The all-time high for billings totaled $18.8 billion, a 24.1% increase over 2005. Worldwide shipments of general aviation airplanes totaled 4,042 units for 2006, up 12.9% over the previous year's total of 3,580 units. Aside from the record set for year-end billings, the industry also experienced an all-time high in business jet shipments, which increased in 2006 to a total of 885 aircraft, up 18% over last year's figure of 750 units.

Piston airplane shipments experienced an 11.6% increase over the previous year. Total units increased from 2,465 in 2005 to 2,750 airplanes in 2006. Shipments of turboprops increased by 11.5%, up from 365 units in 2005 to 407 units in 2006.

Speaking at GAMA's Annual Industry Review and Market Outlook Briefing, GAMA Chairman Dr. John J. Grisik cited factors that contributed to the banner year, "Worldwide economic growth, a strong export market, and increased use of general aviation for both business and personal use all played a part in this outstanding year for general aviation." Dr. Grisik added, "As our manufacturers continue to fill their order books, GAMA anticipates another robust year for general aviation in 2007 and beyond."

 

 

 

January 2007: Volume 2, Number 7

FDIC Set To Revisit ILC Debate
As seen in the Monitor Daily

 

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is expected to decide this week whether to extend a moratorium on the issuance of deposit insurance to so-called industrial banks.

The board has scheduled a hearing for Jan. 31 to discuss whether or not to end a six-month moratorium the FDIC placed on deposit insurance applications for industrial loan companies -- or ILCs - last summer.

In July 2006, the FDIC responded to an escalating debate over an industrial bank charter application filed by Wal-Mart by deciding to freeze 14 ILC existing applications for six-months while it studied the public policy questions associated with allowing commercial firms to own these banking charters.

According to the FDIC, the moratorium was designed to provide time to assess developments in the ILC industry, to determine if any emerging safety and soundness or policy issues exist involving ILCs, and to evaluate whether statutory, regulatory or policy changes need to be made in the oversight of these charters.

Since the moratorium began, several companies have withdrawn their requests for deposit insurance.

Earlier this month, the incoming Chairman of the House Financial Services Committee -- Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.) -- said he is prepared to initiate legislation to prohibit ILCs if the FDIC fails to act.

"If the FDIC decides that under the law, it has no option but to grant full ILC charters, then the House will pass the bill cosponsored by myself and Congressman Paul Gillmor, a Republican of Ohio, to restrict ILCs in the future," Frank said.

Though ILCs have historically been small institutions, the industry has grown dramatically in recent years. Since 1987, aggregate growth in ILC assets has increased by over 3,500%, from $3.8 billion to over $140 billion in 2004. The average ILC now has $2.5 billion in assets and can offer many of the same products and services as banks.

 

 

 

January 2007: Volume 2, Number 6

US Airways Abandons Delta Buyout Bid
As seen in the Monitor Daily


US Airways has dropped its proposed $9.9 billion unsolicited acquisition bid for Delta Air Lines, removing the largest obstacle to Delta's plan to emerge from Chapter 11 as a standalone entity.

US Airways says it was informed that Delta's Official Unsecured Creditors' Committee would not meet its demands by the airline's established deadline of Feb. 1, 2007.

As previously announced, US Airways' offer of $5 billion in cash and 89.5 million shares of US Airways stock would have expired on Feb. 1, 2007, unless there was affirmative support from the Official Unsecured Creditors' Committee for commencement of due diligence, making the required filings under Hart-Scott-Rodino, as well as the postponement of Delta's hearing on its Disclosure Statement scheduled for Feb. 7, 2007.

"We are disappointed that the Committee, which has been chosen to act on behalf of all Delta creditors, is ignoring its fiduciary obligation to those creditors," said US Airways chairman and CEO Doug Parker in a statement. "Our proposal would have provided substantially more value to Delta's unsecured creditors than the Delta stand-alone plan."

According to airline industry analysts, Delta's case was helped by the fact that the creditors' committee included representatives of employees' union, suppliers, and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp., in addition to bondholders and other lenders, which made it harder for US Airways to line up a majority than would be the case for a typical non-bankrupt company, whose shareholders are mostly institutional investors.

"Delta was able to persuade a majority of its bankruptcy creditors' committee that the airline's plan to emerge as an independent company carried less risk than US Airways' proposal, which involved added debt and antitrust review by federal authorities," commented Standard & Poor's credit analyst Philip Baggaley.

Delta's management has stated that the company does not exclude the possibility of entertaining other merger proposals at some point after it emerges from bankruptcy, despite opposition to US Airways' bid.

 

 

January 2007: Volume 2, Number 5

Report: Glogal Economic Growth has Peaked
As seen in the Monitor Daily


A The Manufacturers Alliance/MAPI has released its quarterly global economic report. The assessment of key regions and markets supports the view that global economic growth has peaked, the dollar will undergo a sporadic decline, and that U.S. export demand will grow at a moderate pace.

In the MAPI Quarterly Forecast of U.S. Exports, Global Growth, and the Dollar: Fourth Quarter 2006 Through Fourth Quarter 2008 (ER-622e), economist Cliff Waldman concludes that, after growing at the strongest pace in three decades, the world economy has entered the early stages of a widespread slowdown that will significantly impact regions that are critical to U.S. manufacturers.

Persistent strength in regional and global growth rates and a somewhat weaker dollar over the past 12 months are expected to lead to a solid 8.7% growth in U.S. exports in 2006 when final data are released. Export growth is predicted to be relatively unchanged during 2007, decelerating slightly to 8.6%, as the weaker dollar offsets concurrently weaker growth rates. A modest recovery in growth rates, especially in industrialized nations, is projected to propel export growth to 9.7% in 2008.

Growth in the industrialized countries, which includes Canada, the Eurozone, and Japan, will likely slow from an estimated 2.5% during the fourth quarter of 2006 to 2.2% during the first quarter of 2007.

Growth in the developing countries, which includes China, India, Latin America, Mexico, and the Pacific Rim (excluding Japan), is projected to slow from an estimated 5.7% during the fourth quarter of 2006, gradually reaching bottom at a 4.9% pace during the first half of 2008 before rebounding to 5.3% during the second half of that year.

The recent volatility in the value of the dollar, the outsized U.S. current account deficit, a slowing U.S. economy, and tightening global monetary policies outside the U.S. all suggest at least a modest decline for the greenback in the near-term forecast.

MAPI expects the dollar to fall by 2% against the currencies of the industrialized countries during the fourth quarter of 2006 and remain flat in the first quarter of 2007. MAPI projects a 7% decline in the dollar during the second and third quarters of 2007, followed by a 3% decline in the subsequent two quarters.

After a flat performance during the second quarter of 2008, the report predicts a modest recovery in the dollar by 3% and 4%, respectively, during the third and fourth quarters of 2008.

 

January 2007: Volume 2, Number 4

China Considers Lifting Ban On Banks’ Investment in Leasing Companies
As seen in the Monitor Daily


According to an article that appeared in the China Securities Journal, the China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) may revise a regulation to allow China-registered lenders with no less than $10 billion of assets in the previous year to hold more than 50% of a leasing company's shares, the newspaper quoted an unidentified source with the CBRC as saying.

According to the report, under the revised regulation, financial institutions approved by the CBRC as well as large manufacturers and leasing companies can also take a majority stake, but only banks have the right to initiate the establishment of a new financial leasing company.

 

 

 

January 2007: Volume 2, Number 3

United Rentals to Sell Traffic Control Business to Private
Equity Investors
As seen in the Monitor Daily

 


United Rentals has signed a definitive agreement to sell its traffic control business to HTS Acquisition, an entity newly-formed by affiliates of private equity investors Wynnchurch Capital Partners and Oak Hill Special Opportunities Fund.

Under the terms of the agreement HTS Acquisition will pay United Rentals $85 million in cash, subject to certain working capital and other adjustments. The transaction, which is expected to close in the first quarter of 2007, is subject to certain customary closing conditions, but is not conditioned upon receipt of any regulatory approvals or financing.

United Rentals' traffic control business represents one of the company's three financial reporting segments. In 2005, full-year traffic control revenues were $270 million, or 8% of total revenues. By comparison, the company's primary business segment, general rentals, reported $3.11 billion of revenues in 2005, or 87% of total revenues.

Wynnchurch Capital is a privately owned investment management firm with more than $500 million of capital under management in private equity funds. W

Oak Hill Special Opportunities Fund with $500 million of committed capital, focuses on special situation investment opportunities.

http://www.monitordaily.com

 

 

 

January 2007: Volume 2, Number 2

Williams Scotsman Expands Fleet With GE Equipment Acquisition
As seen in the Monitor Daily

Williams Scotsman International, a lessor of mobile and modular space solutions, announced that it has acquired approximately 80 mobile office and section modular units from a Mexican subsidiary of GE Equipment Services.

The deal with TIP de Mexico S. de R.L. de C.V. closed December 20 and is intended to support fleet deployment strategy in the growing Mexican market, including oil and gas exploration, production, and distribution sectors.

In early 2006, Williams Scotsman acquired American Homes International, adding nearly 300 mobile offices and storage units. The latest acquisition puts Williams Scotsman's Mexico fleet inventory at approximately 800 units.

"We are enthusiastic about the recent addition of units to our Mexico fleet. In such a fragmented market, this deal underscores our dedication to efficiently grow our fleet to best serve the demand for temporary space as well as the permanent needs of the Mexican commercial construction market," said Mark Delaney, regional vice president for Williams Scotsman Mexico.

http://www.monitordaily.com

 

 

January 2007: Volume 2, Number 1

Marketing to Divorce Attorneys
By: Bliss Sawyer

Finding referral partners, in addition to Realtors, is a great way to help your business through the normal cyclical ups and downs of Real Estate. One avenue few originators are utilizing is Divorce Attorneys. Those going through a divorce are often required to divide the home's equity, take the non-occupying spouse off the mortgage or sell the home. To comply with the court's requirements, the parties will need mortgage financing, either to refinance their current loan to pull equity out, remove the ex-spouse's name or purchase a new home once the joint home has sold. 

Many times, those going through a divorce make poor decisions in regard to the home that result in long-term consequences on their ability to borrow.  You can offer your professional assistance in helping them during this difficult time. You have a unique opportunity to place yourself as a trusted advisor to those going through this complicated situation. 

Sometimes the most difficult part of beginning a new marketing approach is creating the piece. Because WE WANT YOU TO SUCCEED, Sue Woodard and Bliss Sawyer have done the work for you. We developed a consumer brochure that answers five basic questions a homeowner has when getting a divorce. Click here to see a sample brochure (thanks to EasyStreet Designs) as well as a Word file with just the content so you can modify or change it to fit your needs. If you have already helped clients in this situation, get a testimonial and add it to your brochure for even more effectiveness.

To succeed with this marketing strategy, spend some time getting to know the Divorce Attorneys in your area and offer brochures for them to give clients. Set up a schedule to contact the attorneys by phone or email each week and try to take them to lunch at least once.  Let them know you are available to meet with clients in their office or yours and that your primary goal is to help their clients make the right decisions about their home.

Take on the role of an advisor and you will gain the reputation as an expert. Everyone wants to work with an expert!

 

Bliss Sawyer
www.mortgagemarketingstrategies.com
www.blisssawyer.typepad.com
806-577-3937

 

 

 

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